Description

This analysis provides a forecast of NEAR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-30 1.317266 1.492518 1.684341 1.910197 2.169253 2.457564 2.803395
2025-12-07 1.059581 1.291953 1.567165 1.918421 2.356627 2.887614 3.583325
2025-12-14 0.870867 1.125603 1.446924 1.884665 2.469614 3.230091 4.303035
2025-12-21 0.727851 0.986928 1.331178 1.826365 2.527480 3.495148 4.950087
2025-12-28 0.663693 0.939191 1.322701 1.902109 2.766784 4.027492 6.038122
2026-01-04 0.606975 0.891736 1.304736 1.956483 2.975971 4.537726 7.165652
2026-01-11 0.557534 0.847056 1.282722 1.997870 3.165493 5.037108 8.346442
2026-01-18 0.512346 0.802396 1.253696 2.021640 3.325778 5.505647 9.542136
2026-01-25 0.462406 0.744000 1.195397 1.988687 3.384504 5.807945 10.488701
2026-02-01 0.409339 0.674520 1.110987 1.900391 3.334166 5.910050 11.078858
2026-02-08 0.369962 0.623675 1.051952 1.848222 3.339465 6.108897 11.877041
2026-02-15 0.337456 0.581251 1.002753 1.807276 3.358730 6.333142 12.755150
2026-02-22 0.324067 0.572262 1.013449 1.881707 3.614439 7.063120 14.833136
2026-03-01 0.304786 0.550810 0.999594 1.908459 3.781632 7.644171 16.706693
2026-03-08 0.280656 0.517948 0.961088 1.882276 3.837747 8.003596 18.151946
2026-03-15 0.255714 0.481080 0.911129 1.826921 3.824872 8.212365 19.283348
2026-03-22 0.248120 0.477001 0.924521 1.903888 4.108077 9.119235 22.285674
2026-03-29 0.238677 0.468251 0.927513 1.958813 4.349381 9.966796 25.309548
2026-04-05 0.228642 0.457275 0.924702 2.000457 4.565545 10.787749 28.432389
2026-04-12 0.217786 0.443527 0.914613 2.024342 4.742570 11.539708 31.523120
2026-04-19 0.203029 0.420160 0.881599 1.991374 4.775801 11.930880 33.662609
2026-04-26 0.185181 0.388575 0.827688 1.902961 4.657902 11.908053 34.567721
2026-05-03 0.171680 0.365399 0.790439 1.850720 4.626588 12.114473 36.224374